Will PS3 eventually pass 360?

[omgwtfbbq]

Hus said:

omgwtfbbq said:

 

Fixed! =)

Don't be so sure that Japan will allow the PS3 to win Japan. They're struggling there. Not as much as the 360 is, but they are definitely struggling and I don't see this market making up for MS's dominance over the PS3 in America. Japan is th smallest of the big three markets by far.

I don't think the PS3 will ever catch up with the 360. The 360 is seeing more software sales, has more exclusives, and will continue to see the most exclusives due to seeing more software sales. It's the cycle of life (or death) for a console.

Ok.

Worst case is PS3 does what 7/8 million in Japan after 5/6 years ?

You think the few 3rd party exclusives 360 can get will make up for Sonys own development capability ?

The cost of a port is less then what the profits they will get from a PS3 version.

 

1) Worst case in Japan is probably around 4 Million. Gamecube barely did any better than that.

2) Yes I think that third parties MS gets can make up for Sony's in house development. Sony basically has one huge huge first party title (Gran Turismo) and after that every major game is third party. If Nintendo couldn't carry themselves over Microsoft based on the strongest first party company in the world (don't even think Sony's first party development will see anywhere near the success of Nintendo) then I don't see how Sony could.

3) But there are plenty of other reasons for making a title exclusive to a console. It's not just "cost to port > sales from console = port". There are always deals for exclusivity, reduction in royalties, etc etc. Some games will be multiplatform but just like last generation, a very large number of games will not be. Once again, I point you to the Gamecube as an example. Porting from PS2 to Gamecube is cheap too, but the GC still didn't see a lot of games.