Onyxmeth said:
We're talking sales here so try to use your words carefully. MGS4 trending above MGS3 in a comparable timeframe and MGS4 outselling MGS3 are not the same thing. I was right. You just had no idea how to say what you were were meaning. I guess my question can be answered by you also. Do you feel MGS4 can approach MGS or MGS 2 sales? If so, then explain how. If not, then explain how the series isn't declining.
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I don't think it will outsell MGS or MGS2 but it will outsell MGS3 easilly ( a lot of MGS3 sales came late in it's life when it became a greatest hit).
I don't think the franchise is actually declining but MGS4 is suffering from the lack of dominance of the PS3 but otherwise I would say it's back to the level of MGS2 and the latest Opus in the franchise is actually quite refreshing...
Depending on wether they decide to make some add-ons to MGS4 or not my estimate is for MGS4 sales to be between 4 and 5 millions... I don't think it's unrealisting to expect MGS4 to keep a 10% weekly attach rate for new console sales in the next year or so which should easilly add 1 million units, more is going to depend on at which time it becomes a greatest hit and if add-ons are made or not...
What would work in its favor is the fact that the PS3 saturation is low enough that there should still be a decent percentage of new PS3 owners that will want to purchase the game( PS3 isn't at the point where new owners are casuals that don't know what titles are around and what good titles are out there).
One reason MGS4 sales declined last few weeks is that PS3 sales declined too. Still this last week the attach rate for new owners was still 14%.