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illuminatus on 11 October 2008
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RolStoppable said:
illuminatus said:

1) HDTVs will have great influence when people are accustomed to the better looks. And only then they will recognize the low resolution of the Wii. In 4th quarter 2009 the Wii will have a problem.

and: you can be sure that Nintendo DOES work on a HD Wii....

2) The Wii until now just was the console with the lowest price. How people perceive its value you only can say when the other consoles cost about the same and everybody has an HD TV.

3) No.

4) Here in my region the Wii is not selling out quickly. Those stacks at my nearest MediaMarkt really are huge - for months now.

1-3) This is going nowhere. All your arguments come down to "Let's wait until all of these conditions are met, then we'll see what will happen". That's boring. Why can't we both look at the past in order to predict the future? You know, all the historical evidence points to the Wii having continued success and selling better than either the 360 or PS3 every month worldwide until all these systems are discontinued.

4) You are from Germany, all consoles aren't selling quickly, but the Wii still sells the most each week. Despite the 360 having deals with games included making it far cheaper than the Wii, I might add. But yeah, that doesn't count because not everybody has an HDTV yet, so we can't conclude that the Wii will remain the top system until the end of its life (which will be longer than the 360's and PS3's).

1-3) All the historical evidence says that consoles which cost $599 or $499 or $349 are outside the mass market and of course don't sell as well as consoles for $249, $199, $99 regardless what is built or not built into them.

4) In the nearest MediaMarkt from here the Wii right now sells slower and the 360 sells faster than one year ago. I don't believe that Wiis live cycle will be longer than 360's. I think the 360 will have its strongest sales in the mid-2009 to end-2010 period while Wii's heydays end sometime next year.