Which games will actually benefit from the holidays?

[Oyvoyvoyv]

Well, I'm looking at Americas yearly, and monthly December, both 2007 of course

What is very signifficant, is that the handheld games sell a lot less compared to the console games. Normally, you would think Brain Training, More Brain Training and Nintendogs would get at least as big a boost as the rest, but it doesn't look like that.

Worldwide, it seems like DS games actually get bigger boosts than the console games. So this makes me assume that Japan and Others will be dominated by DS games. It also seems pretty obvious that the 200K weekly sellers are the consoles' big blockbusters.

It won't look like DS is dominating though, as it doesn't get as many new games released as the other machines. It will be the winner by far with older software (ala, more than 10 weeks old), but will probably just even Wii and 360.

 

What I would expect, is for Nintendo to sell most 3rd party software (and this is unlikely, usually, Ps3 is 20% ahead of Wii, and X360 ~ 50% ahead of Wii). The reason, is that Nintendo games could see a severe shortage. Mario Kart has sold far more than they expected (it has to, they couldn't have forseen this?) and Wii Fit is supply constrained as always.

And if you think about it - these two titles sell about 1/4 of the Wiis total software, and is about equal to the third party sales (slightly lower, but if they weren't supply constrained in christmas, they would be equal).