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I see you're logic, but Halo isn't a regular title. You have to put it in the uber league, with games like GTA, MGS, and Mario. It's a beast that has a life of it's own, and once it gains mometum it doesn't stop for quite a while. You are right about the majority of people who preordered it may own 360's. I would also add that not 4 million of them played the beta. So there's room for new adopters. What happens if the game gets a great review? The fact that the game releases in September, word of mouth and hysteria could really put it back into prominence again. Being the must have title. Will this happen? I don't know, at the very least I believe the game will sell 2 million more systems world wide. Notice I am still keeping in mind that the Wii is selling reasonably, therefore still putting my own guestimate of Microsofts lead at the #'s I mentioned earlier.