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Failure before the conference is pretty hard to achieve... I don't think it's even possible in this case.

No, they haven't failed yet. I don't consider their E3 conference a failure, either - it just couldn't respond to MS's surprise. Without FFXIII MS failed, too (well, they could have announced the Halo thing then but it wasn't or isn't exactly huge), if Sony's conference was considered a failure.

MS hasn't been too succesful even now. Tekken 6 becoming multiplatform isn't a surprise, and a new Halo game isn't either. Sony will have hard time having a worse conference, though it's definitely possible. Still, I expect them to announce something interesting. At least they have many games to announce, according to the information we already have.