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Does this take into account owners of multiple consoles?
You mention that the release of Madden will have an effect on the sales of 360 (and Wii) but what of those that have both of these consoles? Will they prefer the graphics of Madden on the 360 or the controls on the Wii?
What percentage of households will have both consoles? Even if they are not owned by the same person, say in a shared house I would think only one copy of Madden would be bought.
Does the release of a particular game have THAT much of an effect on hardware sales? Surely those wanting an 360 would have already bought one rather than waitingwaitingwaiting just for Halo 3?

JRI.