proof that nintendo is stock piling wiis?

[alpha_dk]

I tried (and succeeded) to read it.  I'd be interested to see the table you made with your expected monthly sales.

Personally, I fall into the "I refuse to believe they aren't stockpiling" camp.  I have no hard evidence of it, but then again, no one does; it is all speculation.  However, I think Nintendo knows how valuable the holiday season can be ("For the second year in a row, this years hot gift item is the Wii! Nintendo just can't make enough of them to satisfy people's demand for it! Yadda Yadda Yadda!" [you know it'll happen]), and thus choose to believe that they are probably stockpiling.

They are almost certainly shipping more *as well*, but at least part of their increased production is going to stockpiling for the holidays.

Iff Wii shipments are up 29% as was said earlier in this thread (it sounded like that was worldwide maybe?), to me that says that their monthly shipments WW would be around 1.3 million (assuming an original monthly production of 1 million which i think is in the ballpark for the stat).  I am pretty sure they've probably raised by more than 300k/month, as even though it would take a while to get started I could see them upping it to either 1.5 or 1.6/month for at least the first year; at the pace they were selling it would not be a drastic increase, and even if the pace slowed down to more reasonable growth levels, they wouldn't be in danger of dangerous levels of overproduction.

 At 1.5 to 1.6 million units per month production, they could be stockpiling 200-300k units per month for the holiday season.  This would, throughout the 2nd half of the year including the holidays, be another 1.2 to 1.8 million (total) for the holiday season in addition to their 1m/month production already.

 And personally, I think 1.5 to 1.6 million units per month is on the low side of what I expect them to be producing now.  I think they are probably trying for 1.8ish (once again, only for a year or so.  After the year-long contracts expire they can drop some of the contracts.  It would be a temporary measure to try to satiate demand). [note: 1.8ish would mean a stockpile of 3m for the holidays (assuming it started in July)]