I voted Wii Music because it's the only thing on the list with any possibility of selling 20M. It could also just sell 5 or 6M, but with Wii Fit and Mario Kart Wii both in shape to sell 20M, don't deny that the possibility is there.
AC should sell a good 10M. I'm not sure why people think it should play better on a handheld then a console outside of Japan. And Wii Speak is going to be a huge part of the experience for a lot of people. It will broaden the game's usefulness beyond the past versions.
Gears 2 should top Gears 1; I could see it doing between 6-8M.
Fable 2 and Resistance 2 are the ones I'm not sure will outperform their predecessors. I think they play more to built-in bases. They should do within 1M, give or take, of Fable 1 and R1 (Gears 2 of course plays into a built-in base, but the potential high-end of that base is represented by Halo 2 and 3, not Gears 1.)
And I've said in the past I think LBP should do at least 4M LT. I think marking it down because it does something new and different is kind of foolish in this generation.
"[Our former customers] are unable to find software which they WANT to play."
"The way to solve this problem lies in how to communicate what kind of games [they CAN play]."
Satoru Iwata, Nintendo President. Only slightly paraphrased.
