Which will happen first - PS3 @ 4 million, or Wii @ 10 million?

[grandmaster192]

Bodhesatva said:

I still don't see how the Wii sells only 5 million more consoles for the rest of the year. 

There are 5 more months in the year. The Wii has already been selling at a rate of 1 million per month. This means that you're assuming that the Wii sells at exactly the same rate now as it will for the rest of the year, which means you are assuming that Nintendo is not stockpiling at all, and that there will be no Christmas increase of any kind.

Your estimate is the absolute lowest possible estimate for the year.

Ok, but come on... 22m is crazy high. There can't be any shortages at all! Every single thing has to be perfect. The Wii would need to go freakin' crazy to get. I mean, we're talking 12m in 5 month or so. That just doesn't seem likely to me.