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Shido said:

 I will be original, I will say Devil May Cry 4, the previous game sold 1.62 mill on a much much larger install base, I don't see the hype around this game even for PS3 fans or M$ fans. And this game is supposed to be released on Q4 2007, where there is a lot of others great games that can steal sales from it. Plus this game is a AAA title so dev cost should be high.


Shido its easy to actually tell what DMC needs to sell to make a profit. As capcom releases numbers they want their games to hit. Here is the official chart capcom posted for the numbers they want their games to hit.

 

 

 

I saved it because I want to keep and eye on these games. I really wish other devs did this like Capcom. In any case capcom wants DMC4 to sell 1.8 million copies to be a lovely success for them. The last one sold 1.6 you say, I believe part 4 will be able to make this since it is multi platform. I think the hardcore buy everything "we love software" 360 owners will get the title there. PS3 will sell a good amount too. I dont think the game will fail. Considering capcom considers 1.8 million a resounding success, I would wager the amount of copies that needs to be sold to just break even would be below that by a decent margin. Maybe 1.2 million to break even? And another 600k of pure profit possibly? I dont know, what do you all think?

 

Another thing I want to mention while I have people looking at that chart, is I believe devs get paid for what they sell to retailers not what they sell to consumers.  On the above chart, I think Capcom just wants to SHIP 1.8 million copies of DMC4 to retailers so that they are paid for it. If the game only sells 1.3 million, but retailers bought 1.8, then Capcom will feel that its goal is met. I think this is looked over alot on these boards. Companies just about always sell to retailers more than we see on the WW sales numbers.

 

And finally Capcom will crush their RE:4 goal so easily its ridiculous. They have likely already shipped 400k. RE:4 just jumped 10 spots last week on the EU sales charts. Insanity. They will likely sellthrough 450k to actual consumsers and sell around 550k to retailers. Thats a lovely success for them.

 

..So basically instead of just saying I disagree and feel the 360 will carry DMC4 to profit I got longwinded....again....sorry.