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HappySqurriel said:

In practically every way flash memory is far superior to optical mediums; flash memory is smaller in size, faster, more durable, and uses far less power. The only benefit optical mediums have is they have a far large capacity ...

Even the capacity advantage is rapidly disapearing because in 1996 DVD and Nintendo's N64 cartridge were both cutting edge formats and the capacity difference was about 100 to 1; today the difference between flash and Blu-Ray/HD-DVD is roughly 10 to 1; and in 5 years optical mediums will probably only have a 4 to 1 advantage over flash memory. Basically, optical capacity increases at a rate of approximately 10 times every 10 years while memory capacity doubles every 24 months (or 32 times every 10 years).

 


Depending on what formats appear in 5 years, thats a possibility. HVD shows prospects of reaching about 4TB, and BRD should be able to hit around 200GB.

 As for speed, a 300x flash drive is roughly eqivalent to a 1x speed Blu Ray drive. Hardly the speed demon. It will get faster with maturation, but in terms of speed, and capacity, optical media will outpace it for years to come.



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