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makingmusic476 said:

1. Thus far this year, the ps3 has otusold the 360 by an average of 40k a week, including the recent weeks following the 360's price drops. During August and July, this number averaged even higher, and it was during this time many speculated that this gap would increase dramatically over the holidays, allowing the ps3 to make considerable gains on the 360's LTD this year.

Then the price cuts came, and things obviously changed.

2. The 360's price has gone as low as it feasibly can to spur sales in the EU and Japan. Any sizeable gains from price cuts have already been achieved, and once sales die down form the recent price cuts, the 360 will be just about dead in the water in these territories. All it has left is NA, where the price is already $199. Compare this to the ps3, which is still very expensive in all regions, and has much to be gained from future price cuts. If you think the ps3 will be outselling the 360 by "only" 50k a week next year - or rather, after it's next price drop - you're in for a big surprise.


To be correct, its 37.045K/week. Which for the fanboys out there puts the PS3 ontrack to catch the Xbox in market share by the end of 2009(AKA too late). (I draw you attention to my earlier graph).

This however doenst take into account any increase from the Xbox price drop, as it has only affected 3 weeks, we need a longer period to see if it is going to do much damage

 

 



Predictions JAN 08

2008 PS3-19.5M(actual 19.5) XBOX360-23M(actual 27.5) Wii - 37M(actual 45.8M)

End of 2009 PS3-27 25M XBOX360-30 35M Wii - 48 63M (revised DEC 08)

Price Point
Mid 2008 Wii $250 Xbox360$249 Xbox360(HDD)$299 PS3 $399

Mid 2009 Wii $189 Xbox360$199 Xbox360(HDD)$249 PS3 $339

Mid 2010 Wii $ 149 Xbox360$159 Xbox360(HDD)$199 PS3 $289