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Hey folks....  I don't post much, more I just chuckle at the flaming/trolling threads that get lobbed about.

 

In any event, I'm seeing many many posts from members who postulate that the PS3 is going to see a significant uptick in sales in the 4th quarter of 2008 because people will want to buy the PS3 for its blu-ray capabilities this Christmas Season.

 

Personally, I think that the PS3 has already received the bump.  Once Toshiba pulled the plug on HD-DVD, and there was no competition for the next gen DVD market, the prices of Blu-Ray players stopped (essentially) dropping.

 

That meant that for the first 2 quarters of 2008 if you wanted a Blu-Ray player, the best, and least expensive, Blu-Ray players was the PS3.  While Sony definatley had some big gaming hits (i.e. MGS4), I suspect that the balance of the bump at the start of the years was not from the game library that Sony had Developed, but rather from people looking for a Blu-Ray player.

 

 

Now as we approach the 4th quarter of 2008, Sony has reduced the price on its own Blu-Ray 2.0 capable player down to $300.00.   Second party players are likely to be at or even below $200.00.

 

Yep, for those who want a next gen player, and "must" now have a Blu-Ray player, the PS3 is still going to bubble to the the top of the list.

 

But the reality is that consumers will be able to buy both a Blu-Ray player and an Xbox 360 Arcade for the same price as a PS3.   Additionally, anyone who doesn't care about games is now less likely to pay a premium for the PS3, when they can purchase a Sony Badged played for at least $100.00 less.

 

Thoughts?