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costco has a bluray stand alone for $230.00, in 3 years they;ll be way cheaper licensing will be cheaper bluray will cost what dvd cost now. and xbox played dvd's so the biggest cost will be cpu gpu combo. and downloadable games is what Sony does now with gt5 and warhawk and nfs paradise. so that model is a great possibility.
but still a multifuntional entertainment center piece needs bluray and dvd compatibility in the future.