Poll of the Week: Which exclusive will sell the most in its lifetime?

[superchunk]

stof said:
Superchunk, why do you think Fable 2 will only sell 2 million?

Considering how the first was a new IP on the xbox that sold 3 million, and the 360 is moving way more software.
Considering how well the game is being received in previews and the 360's wider demographic range (not purely FPS oriented and with more gamers that Fable 2 is likely to appeal to).

I honestly don't see how it could sell LESS than 3 million. Probably making it up to 4 Life time sales.

What was xbox's user base when Fable (a game that also had really good reviews) was released? Plus, I don't consider 360's userbase anymore dynamic than xbox's. It will end up larger, but essentially the same crowd.

If it was considerable less than 360's current base then I would say I could be wrong and think it may do 3-4million, however, based on the its previous showing with similar or larger base I would think it will sell less than the original and be closer to 2 million.

Fable, to me, is similar to Metroid Prime. Great games followed which is equally as good as a game, yet MP2 and 3 did not match MP1 in sales, which was nearly a launch game, i.e. the lowest userbase.