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Paul_Warren said:
Around the 50 million sold mark.

It will have sold it's 50 millionth by April.... so I guess after that you expect sales to slow down.... personally at the least I expect Christmas 2009 to be bigger that this year... as is usually the case with consoles (3rd year greatest sales)

So Spring 2009 seems a little early, but not improbable, however you should remember PS2s greatest year is now 5 years in the past, and it is still going strong.