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Well, I think a bit of the potential PS3-Pure buyers will be holding out for Motorstorm: Pacific Rift (myself included), so I think PS3-version sales for it is going to be a lot lower than that of the 360-version.
I think you have to factor in the "new IP" into the equation as well.
So all in all, I agree that the sales are probablt going to be below expectations.
I don't really like the tricks aspect of the game, which is why I am holding out for MS:PR, I just want to race offroad without needing to build up my boost with tricks.

Lol, I just thought of a good burn.
For the "pure" offroad experience, get Motorstorm: Pacific Rift.
xP