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""""""""""""'"1) The majority of people replace their TV sets only when they break, so add about 5-7 years to your estimate.

2) This is unlikely to happen when a company can make more money by selling those things seperately on DVDs. Blu-Ray used as a means of offering consumers value. Absurd!""""""""""""'

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1) no my estimates are about right. HDTV has been around for some years now and it will be selling very well this holiday season straight through '09 and i can almost bet HDTV will be in the majority of peoples homes worldwide.

2) they can make more money by putting everything they would normally put on 5 dvd's in 1 blu-ray. for example lets take the hit tv show House. season two of house cost roughly $40 and it takes up 6 dvd's...

http://www.bestbuy.com/site/olspage.jsp?skuId=7887236&st=house&type=product&id=1548908

if you were to cram those 6 dvd's on 1 blu-ray and still sell it for roughly $40 then you are making more of a profit. reason? well you get rid of 5 useless disks saving you money, letting you make more money. heck sense its blu-ray and "hi-def" you can price it at $50. this is just a small example of why the 50gb is a better choice for studios/game developers imo