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2009 is when BD is going to really kick off imo. we will see cheaper players, ps3 will also be cheaper, HD will be a near standard in every home. also i am willing to bet alot of tv shows/movies will be taking advantage of the 50gb and giving the consumer lots of extra's (like tv shows can put more than 1 season on a disk, disney can bundle 5 movies on a disk, etc)

2010 BD will have nearly 50% of the marketshare, by 2012 BD nearly 85%