i doubt they will ever include a normal pad in the box, this would mean lazy developers have no need to push motion sensing which by that time will probably be the norm on the competitors too. The best thing about the Wii is that companies are forced to use motion sensing and while its creating problems now, in time it wil become more of a benefit.
They will stick the the compact size, im sure of that and other than better gfx i dont think they will do much else, bear in mind that the machine will probably be backwards compatible with the Wii, so it will probably still use the remote / nunchuck but with added technology, better gyros, a mic, maybe a speaker in the nunchuck but overall i dont think they are going to change things that much.
Hardware wise i too would expect something below the level of a 360 but with some nice custom chips meaning they can pull off far better graphics without the need for hot CPU/GPU's.
Nintendo are probably the most unpredictable company in the world, so it would not surprise me if i was completely wrond on everything ive said!
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