Consoles Sales in the USA from August-December (post GTA edition)

[jjseth]

I see some very optimistic Wii numbers here. Not because it will sell poorly, or that it's a bad machine, but due to the supply shortage Nintendo announced for the holiday season. I think they will do roughly 3 million units from August to the end of December. However if by some reason the "supply limited" status changes and they have plenty, I can see them pulling upwards of 4.5 million units.

Xbox 360 will have a good couple months, but will still be hampered by the RRoD issues. Also if MS does drop the price the $50 as is rumored, it will help them out as a choice for those who want a traditional 'next gen" system. (Please, no heat from this comment by the Nintendo fans. I only mean this in terms of traditional games and gameplay) In the end the 360 will end up around 3-3.25 million.

For the PS3, many of the numbers here are way way too pessimistic and assuming that Sony sells out of the 60gb PS3's and will continue the bundle system for $600. I still expect Sony to release a standalone 80gb machine at the $500 pricepoint which will encourage steady sales throughout the rest of the year. I can see a couple ways this will work out. At the worst, and with anticipated games not making to retail due to delays, or at the least coming out a month later will have a bottom end of 2.5 million units sold. However, if they do bring out a standalone 80gb system (Keep in mind the "bundle pack" is a limited time edition) at $500 or less (They could drop this down if the 360 gets too much of a sales boost from a $50 drop and Sony would go down another $50-100), sales could be in the neighborhood of 3.5-5 million units. Also throw in some big past sellers that will make it to the PS3 for the first time and it could really ignite demand and desire for the PS3.

I'm not saying that the PS3 will for sure outsell the Wii, but they could depending how supply is limited for the Wii as well as some other factors that we just don't know yet.