I don't think that LBP is a casual game. It is a game for everyone sure, but I don't think people that never played a game before can pick it up and enjoy it that much. So Wii Music will definitely win in the casual department. Though, LBP is obviously the better choice for the hardcore gamers.
But I don't know, I think Wii Music will end up beating LBP in the long run. But I just don't see Wii Music doing as good as Wii Fit, Wii Play, and Wii Sports. In everything I seen, I just don't see it appeal to others as the other games. For example, when I showed Wii Fit to my mom who isn't a gamer, she was interested and wanted to get one. However, Wii Music, she isn't even interested. It may just be her, but I think it won't be as successful as the others. But we will see.
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