Can Mario Kart Wii become the nr 1 selling game in its first 12 months?

[c0rd]

disolitude said:
When there is no choice people go with what they have available... so Mario Kart and Smash Brothers should sell to infinity and beyond.

Won't GTA4 outsell it tho considering mulitiple platforms?

No choice? Is that your reasoning behind why Nintendo dominates all the top selling lists?

And no, I don't think GTA4 has a shot, here's why:

http://vgchartz.com/swlaunch.php?reg1=All&game1=Mario+Kart+Wii+-+Wii&reg2=All&game2=Grand+Theft+Auto+IV+-+PS3&reg3=All&game3=Grand+Theft+Auto+IV+-+X360&weeks=25&weekly=1

GTA4's legs aren't going to be enough - at 35k per week it would need a 1M holiday boost, and that may be too much. I'm sure Mario Kart will pull ahead soon, if it sells consistently above 100k and receives a moderate holiday boost, it'll fly by no problem.