Third parties....hmmm let`s see.
This year the 3P big games are: Madden, Rock Band, GH3, CoD4, Assasins Creed, Burnout, Haze, UT3, NFS.
Madden is going to be a million seller on 360 and PS2. It can get close in PSP, and maybe Wii and XBOX. PS3, I think 500k at most.
Rock Band...most consoles purchased for it will be 360`s, and the peripheral cost is just too big.
GH3...that is likely to sell a million on 360, PS2 and Wii. PS3, not enough userbase, and it may be more expensive than other versions.
CoD4....360 is leadin platform...Beta exclusive to it...though PS3`s shooter had nice sales. Maybe.
AC and Burnout...decent games, but again, the 360 will be the million seller platform. Higher userbase by a lot, and lead platform.
Haze and UT3...depends on how good they are and they marketing. They have the biggest chances in my opinion. 70/30 I think.
If no one hits the million, then either MGS4, FFXIII or GTA IV. Those are the only sure 3P million sellers on PS3.
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