Who thinks X360>Wii on 9/11 in Japan?

[noslodecoy]

Millennium said:

gebx said:

Millennium said:
Congratulations to the topic poster on his incredible luck. See you in two weeks after the sales crash and burn.

Calling heads or tails when flipping a coin and getting right is luck. Analyzing and predicting when for the first time this generation the 360 will beat out the Wii is skill.

But his analysis wasn't correct. Among other things, the Wii rebounded from its supposed "massive year-over-year drop" to sell almost 28,000 units this week: about the same as it sold last year. Stick's prediction depended on this drop continuing, and it didn't. The 360 outsold the Wii anyway, but not the way he predicted that it would. Ergo, luck.

Luck would be saying that the 360 will outsell the Wii and not supply any analysis for why it would do so.  He predicted that the Wii would trend downward.  It didn't.  But, he also predicted that the 360 would have a higher sales for a number of reasons.  It did.  He wasn't spot on, but how many good predictions are?