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I predict that the 720 will have a dual SKU situation with the following:

1.) Arcade-like unit: DL only to save manu. costs.  Most casuals are not big DLs anyway.  I could see a USB drive with XB/X360 compatibilty as an "upgrade" accessory.

2.) Elite-like unit: Flash-based HDD with a proprietary Microsoft high def DVD format.  This puts them at an advantage by avoiding the Blu-ray forum liscensing costs.

 

With this dual SKU 720, MSFT can reduce confusion a cost for the Arcade potentially gaining more casuals.  The Elite will be future proof and highly expandable like the PS3.