In my opinion it comes down to this. the only SKU that Could have a real impact on numbers is the Srcade. Now for the most part the people that would be attracted to the $199 Arcade are the same people that would be attracted to the Wii. With the sheer demand and popularity of the Wii I seriously doubt that MS will Siphon that many buyers away from the Wii. Will there be some boost? I'd be shocked if there wasn't, but how much of a boost are we talking, and for how long? In Europe they got a Small to moderate boost that lasted less than a half a year, and in the end really didn't effect PS3 or Wii sales at all. It really does come down to Title recognition. In Europe people know names like Mario Kart and SSB. in the US people know Socom and metal gear Solid. What your average gamer doesn't know is Fable or even to some extent Gears of War (Yes Gears was popular, but it was popular to existing XBOX 360 owners) A price drop will help, but probvably not as much as 360 fanboys want to believe.
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