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@shanbcn: I am sure it won't do it this month and next month is also doubtful. MGS4 should be at around 270k at the end of August and if it get lucky it will sell 25-30k in September/October.
But it have to break around 333k for ELSPA award are based on 90% of sales.

So like BKK said it will do it in either November or December.