TheBigFatJ on 05 September 2008
| Krill said: This will not end well. OT, I think your bet with DMeisterJ is safe barring a major adjustment with VGChartz figures |
I thought my best last year with NJ5 was fairly safe too, but Nintendo managed to pull a lot of Wiis from their yellow cheek. You never really know with bets, but it seems like the common trap people fall into in terms of market share is this: "the market share increased 0.1% and therefore it will reach (insert whatever I want to believe here)" rather than looking at the numbers and saying, "wow, the PS3 needs 2 million more sales beyond the standard 1 in 4 of each console sold to reach 25%."
For example, for the Wii to reach 50% by year's end, it needs to outsell the 360 and PS3 /combined/ by more than 200k per month week and yet a lot of people think it can happen.
