I don't think there's much of a chance of the Wii getting beaten in market share this generation. It's already at the best price point, and that point is only going to get lower. Couple this with a lower development cost and a new way to control games, and you get something that a lot of people might pick up just to try it out.
As far as gaming goes, however, in reality most core gamers are going to want to pick up two systems this gen, for the simple fact that...
A: More meaty graphic/physics games will be put to the PS3/360 for the fact it's built much more closely to a PC's specs.
B: More unique/creative games will be put out to the Wii, for the fact it has motion sensing/IR pointer controls.
Not saying that PS3/360 will get no unique games or that the Wii will get no meaty, involving games, but that's up to the developers. I just see it that the control system for the Wii will demand unique, intuitive control systems to sell games, where as the PS3/360 will be a lot easier to develop games right off powerful PC workstations using those forms of tools.







