Will the PS3 hit 11 mil consoles sold by year's end?

[mitsuhide]

HappySqurriel said:

mitsuhide said:

 I assume atleast 3.5million for Holidays remember first Europe/Other Christmas with PS3 here is the breakdown:

Christmas sales.

EU/Other:1.5million

NA:1-1.5million

JP:1-1.5million Thats an easy 3.5million sales during Christmas.

Sales from now till Christmas07:

August WW(with Lair and Madden):340k

September WW(Heavenly Sword?):300k

October WW(GTA4 and others i think):340k

Total WW for Aug+Sep+Oct=980k

Jan08 WW:250k

Feb08WW:245k

Mar08WW(MGS4?):400k

Total WW for Jan+Feb+Mar08=845k

Total from now to Mar08=5.35million/6.35million sales=TotalWW sales for PS3 by Mar08=9.35/10.35million.

Darn just off but not far away from the 11million sold for Mar08.

(My numbers might be abit off due to these months havent happened yet).

First off, the PS3 is going to sell more in 2 months in Japan than they have sold in 8.5 months? 500,000 seems like a far more reasonable estimate ...

North America and Europe holiday seem amazingly optimistic because they are (roughly) the same as the XBox 360 last year and the PS3 is a higher price, and faces far tougher competition.

 Again 1st Christmas in Europe/Others for PS3 i think this is quite important and the PS3 is cheaper than it was last year $599 to $499 if the 60GB stays in stock which they probably will.The X360 faced tougher competition but the competition was suffering from supply constraints this year that wont happen so the PS3 and Wii sales will be better and X360 will be worse because there wont be supply constraints this year and then all the Exclusives in time for Christmas and then MGS4 in early 08 will increase sales more so i stand by my prediction of 9-10million for end of year and 9.75-10.75million by March08.