Hahaha at "never" answers. Still many unbelievers.
The exact time frame will depend on how much Nintendo can deliver this Xmas, but the one thing that is virtually gaurenteed is that Wii will sell much more in 2008 than it did in 2007, because of supply issues. The same is likely true of 360, due to GTA + Halo + price cut, but those games with a $300 price point will not create the better-than-PS2 level sales that Wii is already doing.
Remember that traditionally, XBox/360 has sold around 500K units in November without a Halo game. This year has Halo AND GTA, which may give the console a 1M unit + boost for the Sept-Dec time frame. This should hold the Wii off very well--in the short term. But Wii is doing over 300K/month in just a normal month. There is probably enough demand to do 450K in a normal month, and Nintendo will assuredly get in position to produce that much sometime in 2008. Once the impact of Halo 3 and GTAIV has passed, what is coming up next that will create anywhere NEAR the kind of demand we're going to be seeing for Wii with Mario, Smash, Kart and Fit added to the lineup?
Basically, Nintendo just has to start delivering the units.
"[Our former customers] are unable to find software which they WANT to play."
"The way to solve this problem lies in how to communicate what kind of games [they CAN play]."
Satoru Iwata, Nintendo President. Only slightly paraphrased.
