Brilliant Sean Mastrom's blog entry

[noname2200]

Squilliam said:

noname2200 said:

How about this, we target a specific genre - I say the shooter genre and we compare the performance of games released q3/q4 last year to this year on both platforms? Or even a Calendar year it doesn't matter. It just shaves 4 months off the time of maturity thats all. We can include things such as the number of titles, average sales between them so we can perhaps agree on a hypothesis sooner.

The shooter genre is something Malstrom argues about often both directly and indirectly. Its the arch typical HD console genre as its expensive  to develop for and exists within a crowded market place. This specifically relates to his "Ocean Theory".

 

I see what you're getting at. But that would be grossly unfair to you, wouldn't it? The only shooter I can remember releasing last Q3/4 for the Wii was Medal of Honor (total sales to date: 230k), a lackluster performance that shouldn't be too hard to top by The Conduit (the only shooter I can think of releasing for the Wii Q4). By contrast, the HD consoles will have to top Call of Duty 4 (good luck with that!).

I like what you're trying to do, since it'll be a b**** to do things the way I proposed, but I don't think a single genre will be enough to cut it. How about we limit ourselves to just Q3 performance? That's the holiday season, when gamers are always out in force and publishers are doing everything they can to attract sales. It still won't be a perfect snapshot (I can think of a few objections already), but it seems like the most practical way to go about it. What do you think?