Didnt the NES launch with SMB since the game existed in the arcades before the NES hit the stores? the snes also launched with SMW, and went on to have yoshis island.
I think since we are geting Mario galaxy quite early in the machines life, and the wii has far more potential to sell for much longer than the N64 or Cube showed it would be a safe bet that we would see another.
In the case of the cube, by the time Sunshine was released (to a luke warm reception) the cracks were already showing, a year later there wasnt much left of the market so taking up development of a new game would have been a waste of resources.
A year after mario galaxy will be a very very different situation, expecially as alot of people are saying that SMG could be one of the biggest selling games of all time.
The thing about mario, or just games in the past were you could take a game update the sprites, make new levels, add a few twists etc and it was a new game, nowadays if a franchise isnt vastly improved the general public doesnt want to know.
There was very little different to the the core of the games throughout SMB1/2/3, SMW and YI, yet when the switch to 3D was made, each one after that has been distincly unique. This fact alone would make multiple mario games on one format less likely. I personally wouldnt mind if they made another Galaxy game which is basically more of the same, but i dont think that would happen.
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