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I think waiting for a month's worth of sales would provide a better indicator.

Even though that month's worth of sales should start rolling into Fall sales when all consoles will start picking up regardless of catalysts, a comparison of YoY sales with 2007 should show what type of effect the price drop should have over the holidays.

First week should be huge unless there is a supply shortage that same week due to no change in inventory levels in preparation. Meaning, if 360s start selling out that first week, subsequent shipments will increase.

If not, and supply channels are stuffed beforehand in preparation, it would still take 2-3 weeks for the initial bump to subside.