| makingmusic476 said: I'd be fine if it reached 50%, but I hope it doesn't get too much higher than that. I want third parties to make plenty of games for both the Wii and pc/ps3/360, rather than focusing primarily on one side. Of course, I believe that many PC-centric western devs will never make the jump, because they aren't going to stop making PC games. |
That right there is The reason why a 50% share of the console market is still meaningless as anything other than a number.
Many seem to be under the impression that once it breaks the magical 50%+ number, 3rd party developers are suddenly going to start seeing the Wii as the leading development platform, thus giving the console all the biggest 3rd party games of this console generation.
But they are ignoring the reality that PC is the core development platform, sharing most non PC specific genres (RTS, MMORPG, etc.) with the similar Xbox and PS3 platforms.
Development starts with the most capable hardware and is ported down to the least powerful. The Wii will never change that.
Either way, I agree with BFJ in saying 50% is not going to happen in 2008 just based upon the production numbers alone, even assuming 100% sell through for the Wii.
For the record, NTDOY is the only game related stock I keep in my portfolio. I have great faith in the company's performance, but I'm still realistic about what the numbers mean.
