| Gamer4eva said: With market growth being huge, especially in the EU and with the Wii and DS getting new gamers, the potential customer range sould be about 350 Mil. And in the end it should be like this Wii = 150 Mil PS3 = 160 Mil (Blu Ray will make this thing sell, trust me) 360 = 40 Mil |
No.
You predicted in your post "Blu Ray will really kick in by 2011..." It is currently 2008 and there are standalone BR players cheaper than the PS3 already. By Jan. 2010 I fully expect several sub-$100 BR players. BR going big could definitely help Sony as the royalties come in but it won't help the PS3 as non-gamers can buy cheaper standalone players instead of buying PS3s. Right now is the time for the PS3 to take advantage of BR's victory with it being the best BR player out there. Once a fully featured BR player that can update comes out below $200 PS3 will no longer get a boost from people buying it for movies.
I'm too lazy to write out several paragraph responses to all your points so i'll just be concise.
Seriously? Xbox had the best online system last gen and that meant nothing. PSN should be quite amazing as Sony continues to improve it but that will not help the PS3 sell 100 million consoles as the only way it could hit that milestone is by appealing to a broader casual market that doesn't care about such things.
And by 2011 MS and Nintendo will have launched new consoles at or around $300 themselves. Infact Sony will probably launch the PS4 around 2011, and having learned their lesson from the PS3, will not price it above $400. Sony better hope they can cut PS3 costs to $149 or at least $179 by then or the PS3 sales will drop immediately.
How? For movies? Like I said BR won't help the PS3 at that point. For games? There was a survey done late last year that showed 65% of Wii owners used HDTVs. Most people don't care about hooking the SD console upto their HD set. There are many HD owners out there that are too clueless to realize why hooking up their HDTVs with composite connections is pointless.
---
All in all it's obvious you're drinking the Sony "10 year plan" Kool Aid so there probably isn't anything I can say that would convince you otherwise.
Although I did think it was nice of you to appease the Nintendo fans by giving the Wii 150 million sales and the PS3 just barely passing it overall. Others would have been more honest with their own feelings and had the Wii drop off at 45 million and the PS3 skyrocket to 200 million.
