360 actually stands at 20. GRAW1 is listed twice; another naming snafu.
First of all, people seem to be missing tons of multiplatform games. I'm not sure if I've seen Guitar Hero III, GTAIV, Assassin's Creed or Need for Speed mentioned at all...? How about Rock Band? I hope I just missed them.
360 will probably add at least 10 games to the list by year end. The surefires are Madden, GHIII, GTAIV, Halo 3, COD4, NfS, and probably Splinter Cell (is this a 2007 title?) Mass Effect, Assassin's Creed, Rock Band, FIFA and others could all reach the mark too. Blue Dragon and BioShock? I wouldn't hold my breath...
Wii will add a similar number to 360 by December 31, I think, but will likely have the most eventual million sellers from 2007. I see games like BBA, Pokemon Battle, DQ:S and RRR2 hitting 1 million in the long term, for example, and games like BWii and others could surprise. Stuff like Nights, Soul Calibur and Boogie I wouldn't hold my breath for.
The big question is if the multi-plats will move 1 million on Wii this year. Madden, Need For Speed, FIFA and Guitar Hero III ought to all be million sellers on a leading console in its second year, and for Wii, Tiger Woods should be added to that list.
Mario and Smash will obviously be mega-hits, but Metroid, Mario&Sonic, WiiFit & MySims all have potential to sell loads in 2007. Strikers ought to pass 1 million by year end too.
PS3 will have very few million sellers even by year end. They better hope Madden and Need for Speed can move 1 million; they combined for over 40 million sales on PS2. Motorstorm will reach well past 1 million via pack-in. GTA of course. Lair. And... What exactly? Some of the big multi-plats like GHIII could reach, and Warhawk and a few others in the long term, but the install base will still be less than half of Wii's and 360s on Jan 1. There will probably still only be a handful of million sellers.
"[Our former customers] are unable to find software which they WANT to play."
"The way to solve this problem lies in how to communicate what kind of games [they CAN play]."
Satoru Iwata, Nintendo President. Only slightly paraphrased.







