Impulsivity said:
Squilliam said:
Impulsivity said:
While yes it is at a somewhat slow (but steady) pace most months, console wars are won and lost in big bursts. More ground can be gained and lost in a month between Thanksgiving and Christmas then in the entire rest of the year for instance. Also big release weeks make large dents, and there are a lot of those coming for the PS3 (I really think that Little Big Planet will be more of a game changer then MGS4 since it expands the audience in a much larger way).
The way it really seems to be is a weekly advantage of 30k to Sony with occasional jumps to 100k or more with big releases. If that continues (and price drops on the 360 don't seem to be changing much) the eventual 299 price drop and big releases will easily let the PS3 overtake the 360 by the end of next year when it will still matter. All thats left is the NA market, The PS3 is ahead of the 360 throughout the rest of the world.
Additionally the pace of PS3 sales have been accelerating rather profoundly, while the 360 sales have more or less stagnated (and will almost certainly decrease as the 360 hits its saturation point of around 30-35 million consoles at which point almost all of their core audience will have one just like with the original).
The only big weeks for the 360 on the horizon are GOW2 week and Fable 2 week. Unfortunately most of the audience for those two games bought a 360 long ago with Halo 3 or Gears of War One. There is no real week you can point to in the upcoming months and say "that will be a good week for the 360" while there are at least a half dozen of those weeks for the PS3. |
Why all this talk of stagnation 11 days before a major price cut? Can't you at least wait until after....
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Isn't the 360 down to 299 already? I just checked Amazon and after going WAY down to 74th on the video game sales charts I ran into the 299.99 20GB 360. Sure its sitting 70 places behind the PS3 and the Wii, but at least its 15 places ahead of the PS2! Think it had two weeks where it was ahead of the PS3 after the 50 dollar cut, then right back to barely beating out the PS2 for last.
I talk about stagnation because the market for the 360 is limited. They talked a good "everyone can play" game at E3, but the 360 remains what the Xbox always was, the gamerboy machine. Everyone can play the Wii, everyone could play the PS2, the PS3 is ramping up so everyone can play more so (Little Big Planet being key in that move) but the 360 is only for you if you're male and under 30 or your little brother/teenage son if you're over 30.
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If the PS3 is even near to the Wii then obviously the rankings on Amazon are wrong. Since i've seen a lot of people pushing those numbers for PS3 success I can assume they generally favor the PS3 or they wouldn't be used. Furthermore the people already on Amazon can be assumed to be internet savvy so theres a greater chance that they already know about the 60gb model coming, well at least in far greater numbers than the people who aren't.
Your last paragraph is wrong, fewer people can play games on the PS3 because its simply too expensive. It doesn't matter if they include all of the mainstream games in the world if the price is not mainstream. At least the Xbox 360 its going to hit that mainstream price in about 11 days so we can see then. You could wait a further month if you'd like to see the official NPD data if you want.
