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For the PS3 to beat it in less than 100 weeks would mean the PS3 would have to sell better, and the 360 worse than at any average of any 26 week period.


Eh yes. And this is just as likely as that everything stays the same. Margins of Error work only if you try to extrapolate a overall value from a statistical sample of correct sample values. If you extrapolate into the future you have NO fixed sample values and all you do is fortune telling. That's no statistics.

Did I say recently that we have too many would-be analysts on this page?