HD Console sales break down for when or if the PS3 will pass the Xbox 360.

[steven787]

libellule said:

drpunk said:
I think that's what some peoples' problem with this thread is.

They see it as the OP trying to predict the future, whereas I think the OP is trying more to put things into perspective.

i.e. if you say the PS3 will be winning by this date, this is what sales it has to achieve.

They're making no claims as to what the sales will be, or might be, just what they'll need to be.

Some people just need to chill.

 

Read the first part of the OP and u will see it is just another prediction based on past number that conclude : PS3 beat Xbox360 in 2,5 years. It is called trying to predict the future. It is also a claim.

It is only after that the OP try to check "which sales rate is needed for the PS3 to beat the Xbox360 in X months".

Depending which part the post you believe is the main point of the OP, you will react differently. That may explain the "2 sides" reactions seen in this trhead.

3. Past numbers aren't being used to predict in my assumption.  I used them to show trends.  I think that the PS3 will continue to outsell the 360 at about the same because both consoles will have "weapons" in their "arsenal".  I don't think $199 trumps Bluray or that LBP will crush Gears 2.  They are all valid marketing tools under their own merits, and I think they just about level the field, when talking rate of change.

4. I am not saying that the rate will remain the same on a weekly basis for any of the analysis

• 18 months it would take 75k per week.
• 24 months it would take 57k per week.
• 12 months it would take 113k per week.

This means, for the PS3 to catch the 360 it would take an average of that many per week.  Those numbers aren't predictions they are math.

5,460,000/(months*4)= amount.

Are people really this bad at understanding math?  It's just averages, not my opinions.