HD Console sales break down for when or if the PS3 will pass the Xbox 360.

[xman]

steven787 said:

Past 52 weeks:

Console	PS3	X360
Total	10,582,669	9,570,108

PS3 sold 1,012,561 more than the 360.

Past 26 weeks:

Console	PS3	X360
Total	4,766,767	3,634,823

PS3 sold 1,131,944 more than the 360.

That's an average of 43536 per week for the past 6 months.

Past 13 weeks:

Console	PS3	X360
Total	2,308,280	1,771,517

PS3 sold 536,763 more than the 360.

That's an average of  41289 per week for the past 3 months.

 

If you take out MGS4 week, and divide by 12, the average is ~35250.  If you take out the two following weeks it becomes ~15k.

 

Now let's take 5,460,000 million that the 360 has as a lead over the PS3 for LTD and divide it by 41289.

5,460,000/41289 = 132 weeks. 30 months. 2.5 years.  If the PS3 keeps this average.

 

I don't think the PS3 will keep this average through January, because of the 360 price cut and how attractive it becomes as a gift for the kids.  So I will extend that to 2.75 years.

For Sony to "catch up" in:

• 18 months it would take 75k per week.
• 24 months it would take 57k per week.
• 12 months it would take 113k per week.

 

So IF it happens it probably won't until 2-3 years away.

Will it matter?

 

I think you had it right will it matter?  NO second and third will be so close that 3ed party support will be split evenly this liefecycle.