I don't say it is impossible for PS3 and XBox 360 to reach those numbers, but I don't think it is a certainty either, at least not when I take the current sales levels into consideration.
PS3 will be around 1M at the end of July (maybe a little above depending on a bump from HSG) If they keep selling at the current rate (around 13k/week). Lets make it 60k/month for easy of calculation. That would put the PS3 at 1M + 4x60k = around 1.25M at the end of november. That would mean they need to sell 750k during december minus the addition units sold because of software releases. I don't think they'll have that many big games in Japan in 2007, so a huge part of those 750k units will need to be sold in december then. When averaging between 10-15k a week I don't think getting up to 150-200k average in december will definately not going to happen. Actually, looking at it this way I'm pretty sure PS3 will not reach 2M this year unless they manage to increase their normal weekly sales significantly soon, so getting it up to around 25k/week.
XBox 360 is only selling 2.5-3k units per week. That would put them at around 450k at the end of november. Last year they sold around 100k in december, but that included the launch of Blue Dragon. So that would put them still 50k short of 600k. Now this isn't a big amount, and some software releases and possibly a small increase in weekly sales could also be enough to make them reach 600k this year, but I think it is still to soon to call it a certainty.
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