i cant see the PS3 topping 100 million in 20 years, let alone 10, the PS2 has sold incredibly well as a £/$100-150 machine, and even then it had 10x the momentum that the PS3 has from day one.
A hell of alot of people picked up the PS2 for a cheap thrill, to play singstar, guitar hero or buzz and little else, they wernt too bothered that the hardware wasnt cuttting edge or that the xbox was better hardware, that sort of thing isnt going to happen again for a number of reasons, 1 being the time when sony can offer the PS3 at anything under £/$200 is a long long way off and 2, because the Wii is already taking that market away from them. aswell as creating its own market to boot.
I have no doubts the PS3 will catch and overtake the 360, but that will take maybe 1-2 years (or 2 more holiday seasons), by this point the wii will be far too far infront.
Even if the 'big 3' dont convince the 'hardcore' that the wii is a viable platform, theres more than enough non 'hardcore' to keep them in front. I think anyone who classes themselves as a hardcore gamer (and by that i dont mean someone who only plays eyecandy FPS games) will be more than happy to own a wii for group play and the occasional miyamoto classic.
@ Smashchu, Halo 2 did sell very well, but nothing on the system comes anywhere near that, one game alone doesnt make a machine successful. The PS2 has many many games that sold in the millions, most of which will come to the PS3.
Halo3 will push machines, but i doubt its going to have a massive impact, any FPS fan has more than enough reasons to own a 360 already and the majority of them will already bought one (and sent it back for repair multiple times).
thats my non analyst opinion anyway.
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