Why Sony Can't Sell the Most Hardware this Generation

[nintendo_fanboy]

i want to add some of my thoughts to... first of all i would say that the worldwide console war couldn't be more open. but i think nintendo almost can't be beaten in japan anymore, mainly because of the success of the ds and the nintendo hype there at the moment. the other two markets are still very open, it is also possible that all consoles win one market (wii-japan, xbox-america, ps3-europe.) but the aces of sony that the pro-ps3 guys in here mentioned all aren't counting much for me. first thing is the blue-ray-player: this may be a reason for people to buy ps3 in japan and america, but in europe it surely won't be. most of the people here don't know about blue-ray and i have no idea were i could buy blue-ray films, i don't think that they are sold in switzerland already. this means that it will take a very long time to establish in europe and it will be too late to sell consoles. that leads me to the second point, your idea that ps3 could win in the long run. has somebody of you ever seen that happening before? it sure won't be the case, because after about two years in a console-lifecycle good third party games are only published for consoles with big userbases, and that means that a slow starting console just will get more and more problems later on in its lifecycle. the third point some of you mentioned is the price drop. you said that there aren't people holding back getting a wii until the price drops, but there are a lot that are doing this with ps3. this may be true, but if the wii-price drops, its price is on a level were you don't really think about it before you decide. i mean, most of the people that are buying a wii at the moment have the idea sometimes, then think about it and then go into a store to buy it. after a price drop, people will go to stores occasionally, see somebody playing wii sports and then buying the console because it is so cheap. on friday, i saw a couple in a store that acted almost like that. they were looking at ps2 games, but then they saw a wii and started talking with the shop assistant about it. after a couple of minutes they wanted one, but they were not sure if they want to spend so much money in that moment. i left at this moment, so i don't know if they finally bought it or not, but i am sure they would if wii had a price drop, and i am sure that you can observe similar scenes all over europe and america. so i would say that wii profits at least as much from a price drop as ps3 would. but even if those three points aren't factors to help the ps3, i still expect it to have a very strong launch in europe and may even win the console war, but for that, sony has to do quite a lot of things right in the next time.