How many of you are professionally trained and experienced analysts? What? **hears crickets** Hmmm makes sense with all the nonsense spouted off in this thread.
Yes, the Wii is doing well right now, but it's no guarantee that it will continue. Also, many people do want more impressive graphics and great games that take advantage of it. Maybe not for 5-600 dollars, but at some point they'll make the jump and decide it's time to buy a PS3 (Most likely when the price gets down to the 2-300 range). Keep in mind that gamers are getting older and are making more money and can afford to buy a system in that range. Also, how long until the Wii gets replaced by Nintendo's next iteration of the Wii to compete graphically with the PS3/360? Could that be 2009? or 2010? By that time the PS3 will be much easier to develop on and the games that could be created could be something that the Wii as it is just cannot handle with it's hardware and encourage those who may even ahve a Wii to decide that it's time to buy a PS3 so they can enjoy those games.
Wii still has a stigma attached to it that many hardcore gamers may not enjoy, and that would be Nintendo's history of focusing on kids (Soon to be casuals in the mix). I know those who have the wii and they get burned out playing the games they have and the wiimote as well. A couple end up playing the wii a bit for a few weeks to a month, then they switch back to their ps2 for a couple months.
What does my non-analyst based prediction say?
Wii 60-80million
Xbox360 35-45 million
PS3 75-110million (Could be more if the system really does have a 10 year window before the next sony product is out. Also, sales will pick up considerably in winter of 2008, with a big pickup before that in holiday season 2007 if there is truth behind the $400 PS3 for this year.)
My pokemon brings all the nerds to the yard. And they're like, "You wanna trade cards?" Damn right, I wanna trade cards. I'll trade this, but not my charizard.
