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TheBigFatJ said:

The PS3 may be able to break the 3rd place shackels sometime in 2009. Perhaps I'm just being optimistic, but this holiday season will tell us an awful lot about the near future and by the end of 2008, it should be clear whether or not the PS3 has a good chance of breaking in to second place. I'm betting will. The 360 sales have been so bad this year that even a good holiday wouldn't make me optimistic for its chances.


This holiday seasons will say nothing imo. One decent-selling franchise (Ratchet) and a bunch of unproven new IPs won't be able to pull in many new PS3 users, especially NOT in Japan.

 

Also someone mentioned Sony's position in Europe / Japan. I agree that 2nd place is assured for Sony there. America counts for such a large piece of the pie though that MS still *could* hold onto 2nd overall.  Look at the EA fiasco.  If all PS3 ports are percieved as poorly, they will be third in America.