Anyone still believe Wii Won't be ahead of Xbox 360 by the end of the 2007?

[johnlucas]

kber81 said:

NJ5 said:

And you still think your July prediction will be true? ... That doesn't give much credibility to your other predictions, no matter how much I may or may not agree with them...

 

I second that...

@ johnlucas

Also I'd like to know what do you think about MGS4 (PS3's gameplay) and impact of DQ:S?

I don't move from my statements. It will not see the light of day on the PS3.

Perfect Dark Zero was shown at Spaceworld 2000, a Nintendo event, and in the end it debuted on the XBox 360.

Things change, kber81. Quickly. Things change in this industry. Suddenly and on a dime. There aren't many solid rocks around to stand on other than Nintendo will always own Nintendo's IPs. Everything else is modifiable.

Dragon Quest: Swords will actually make things worse for Sony. I don't know if you've noticed but Square-Enix is back in bed with Nintendo. Your Final Fantasy VII moment of the current era is the announcement that Dragon Quest IX was going to DS. That was megaton as they say. Money talks and Bessie Sue walks.

DQ:Swords having this kind of impact on the charts changes allegiances. 3rd party follows the money and the money potential. Square-Enix said no new development until PS3 sales improve. What do you think that means for a big money project like the FFXIIIs? What do you think that means for a big money project like MGS4?

If the base is too small then the sales will have a low maximum ceiling. I don't think these guys spent so many years and put so much heart into their work only to see it do so-so in the stores. PS3 games on the charts in every region are a rarity. And after you see them you tend not to see them long on the charts.

It takes more sales to break even on PS3. Companies want to profit not break even. The price of the PS3 is simply a barrier to access. If the GBA of all things is giving Sony hell in the USA where MGS4 sells the strongest, if PS3 can't even break the 100,000 a month barrier month after month, if PS3 is a non-entity almost on level with nobody 360 in Japan its home turf, then you can bet your bottom dollar the companies are secretly preparing the liferaft to get off the ship.

Sony president said no price drop to the very end and then here came the price drop. They have investors and egos to protect. You will always see them diplomatic, doublespeaking, and friendly lying in order not to ruffle the feathers. From time to time you see the real barbs which indicate their true intentions.

MPrime3 was supposed to be launch title and now we're waiting until late August to see it. Things change and it's a loooong way before 2008.

Example of how things change? No one saw Nintendo as underdog after ruling industry for over 10 years. No one saw Sony as underdog after ruling industry for over 10 years.

Study the example of the Dreamcast to understand that things aren't always what they seem. Until the end even Sega officials denied the doom everyone else saw.

John Lucas