If we don't see Zelda until 2010, it will have been an abnormally long wait between Zeldas.
Twilight Princess has been out for almost two years now, and there's usually only 2-3 years between Zeldas, outside of Twilight Princess, which was delayed a year to make the Wii's launch.
Logic tells me that a new Zelda should make it out next year, but my gut gives me a similar feeling to yours. Though I suppose we normally would've gotten screens by now if it was due out next year, but given Nintendo's new strategy of showing games mere months before release, I would assume we wouldn't see anything of Zelda until just prior to release as well.
As for Kid Icarus, people also claimed it would be shown at E308 and released during this holiday season. Given the rumors of Factor 5 talking to Nintendo about making the game as late as the beginning of this year, I think it may be a long ways off yet (at least a year, imo).
Of course, a Holiday '09 release of Kid Icarus would fly in the face of my Zelda theory, so let's hope you're right. >_>
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